This week was a relatively uneventful week for me in relation to my March M3. The only adjustment I had to make was on Tuesday, February 21st because the Vega value of the position was only at -5. I moved half of my butterflies up from 1350 to 1370 as well as added two 1380/1390 verticals to get the position to an adequate Greeks level. The Delta value after the adjustments was -37.6, the Vega was -309.5, and the Theta was 122.2.
The risk profile graph after the adjustment can be seen below:
On Friday of this week, I put on my April M3 since it is now 56 days to expiration. Even though the market was at 1394, I decided to put on 12 butterflies at 1360 because I wasn't getting a high enough negative Delta value that the call I would have had to buy would not have been deep in the money. So, the butterflies bought at this level gave me -95 Delta and allowed me to buy a 1270 call. This also gives me the ability to reduce the butterflies I have in the position instead of buying verticals.
The risk profile graph of the April M3 can be seen below:
Stay tuned as I close my March M3 in the coming weeks!
On this blog, I will be displaying constant updates of my simulated and backtested trades.
Sunday, February 26, 2017
Sunday, February 19, 2017
March Expiration M3
Hello everyone, below you can see how my March expiration M3 is going.
1/20: To start off the position, I put on 12 butterflies at 1320 with 50 point wide wings and a call at 1180 that gave me a total Delta value of -4. I had to add those two extra butterflies to get greater negative delta and vega values so that I could buy a call deeper in the money with a higher positive Delta value. The market was at 1352 when I started the position.
The risk profile for the beginning position can be seen below:
2/9: I bought a 1360/1370 vertical to reduce the negative Delta of the position. The market was outside of the tent of the butterfly and the Delta value needed to be lower than -50.
2/13: Because the market is just constantly moving up, the Vega became positive and the negative Delta value increased to be more than -50. The verticals themselves would not be able to offset the values, so half of the butterflies were moved up to 1350. A 1370/1380 vertical was also added.
The risk profile from 2/13 can be viewed below:
2/14: With yet another day of the market being up, two 1360/1380 verticals are added to offset the negative Delta value.
2/15: The rest of the butterflies were moved up to 1350 to fix the positive Vega value. Also, two more 1360/1380 verticals are added to gain a satisfactory negative Delta value.
2/17: The extra two butterflies were removed from the position to reduce negative Delta from -70 to -36 and increase the negative Vega. The position is currently down -$589 but there are still 28 days until expiration.
The risk profile from 2/17 can be viewed below:
Stay tuned in the coming weeks to watch as I close my March position and put on an April M3!
1/20: To start off the position, I put on 12 butterflies at 1320 with 50 point wide wings and a call at 1180 that gave me a total Delta value of -4. I had to add those two extra butterflies to get greater negative delta and vega values so that I could buy a call deeper in the money with a higher positive Delta value. The market was at 1352 when I started the position.
The risk profile for the beginning position can be seen below:
2/9: I bought a 1360/1370 vertical to reduce the negative Delta of the position. The market was outside of the tent of the butterfly and the Delta value needed to be lower than -50.
2/13: Because the market is just constantly moving up, the Vega became positive and the negative Delta value increased to be more than -50. The verticals themselves would not be able to offset the values, so half of the butterflies were moved up to 1350. A 1370/1380 vertical was also added.
The risk profile from 2/13 can be viewed below:
2/14: With yet another day of the market being up, two 1360/1380 verticals are added to offset the negative Delta value.
2/15: The rest of the butterflies were moved up to 1350 to fix the positive Vega value. Also, two more 1360/1380 verticals are added to gain a satisfactory negative Delta value.
2/17: The extra two butterflies were removed from the position to reduce negative Delta from -70 to -36 and increase the negative Vega. The position is currently down -$589 but there are still 28 days until expiration.
The risk profile from 2/17 can be viewed below:
Stay tuned in the coming weeks to watch as I close my March position and put on an April M3!
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